Wednesday, April 23, 2008

The Dems are all broken up

One of the biggest issues plaguing the Democratic Primaries is the rift that is growing not just between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, but the growing divide there increasingly bitter competition is causing among both of their supporters. As the contest becomes more and more bitter, thanks largely to Hillary bringing in mudslinging (despite who you support it's clear that she made the contest negative), both candidates supporters are saying that they may not vote if the other gets the nomination.

In a poll by CNN, about 16% of Clinton supporters would not vote for Obama and an equal amount of Obama supporters would not vote for Clinton if she somehow managed to get the nomination. These 16% would either not vote at all or could even be so unhappy with the candidate that they move to support McCain.
Clinton-Obama splitting party
I had seen polls showing this percentage has grown since this article was done in late March. If this trend continues than it will become more and more difficult for the Democrats to beat McCain in the general election. Perhaps Clinton should think about whats best for the party and the unity of the party and just bow out gracefully before more damage occurs. This isn't me blatantly going after Clinton because I dislike her, I'm going simply by the numbers; she can't win. Feel free to look at the current delegate count and the remaining delegates.
Unlikely
She should be worried (as should Obama) that her/his tactics and the unfriendly atmosphere that has been generated in this campaign as of late is causing major damage. I doubt that 16% will not vote for the other or swing to McCain, but any loss of votes could be devastating- the Democrats will already lose votes to Nader, it won't help to lose more because Clinton is being petty in her race for power.

I am personally one of those people who will vote for McCain over Hillary; not for spite...well maybe a little, but mainly because I don't trust her, her foreign policy is horrible, and I don't like her universal health care plan. I honestly believe McCain would be a better choice than Hillary, although I don't like McCain that much either and Nader has no chance. If Hillary takes this to the convention she risks further polarizing democratic voters to the point where 16% becomes a feasible number of defectors or people who rather not vote. Another issue to consider is trying to bring the party together, if Hillary stepped out a few months before the August DNC, it would give Obama time to bring the party back together, because having to do that during the general election will take time and energy from breaking down McCain; McCain already has a jump start on attacking democrats on policy- they don't need to give him even more time during the crucial election period.

As much as we all love to see every primary matter and all the huge turnouts by voters because of such a competitive primary season, you also have to take into consideration what damage it has done, from turning democrats against one another to allowing the rival party to collect its self and attack the democrats on issues. I think its time that a certain candidate should call it quits and recognize the numbers are not in her favor (HILLARY) and allow this time to bring the party back together and focus on winning the White House.

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