Without a
doubt, the last few months have been absolutely chaotic for the Republican
presidential hopefuls. Although Mitt
Romney has proven himself, at least as far as numbers go, to be the front
runner of the party, there still seems to be widespread discontent among
Republicans as to whether or not he is actually the right guy for the job.
South Carolina Sen. Lindsay Graham said on ABC's This Week, "Mathematically, this thing is about over, but
emotionally it's not."
Even in the
face of a possible Brokered Convention, I would agree with Sen. Graham in that
Romney is the probable victor for the nominee, however, gaining support to the
likes of which is necessary for a victory against Obama will prove difficult. Winning
a presidential election is directly related to the amount of moderates a
candidate can sway to their side; this will be largest obstacle for the
Republican Nominee, be it Romney or anyone else.
Assuming
Romney is in fact going to be the face of the Republican Party in the coming
election, it will certainly be difficult for him to rally necessary support
from both Republicans AND moderates when even the most diehard on the right are
currently nervous and weary of him. I
would suggest, if only the Party were able to speak publically under one single
voice, that they would say something along the lines of:
“We DEFFINITLY do not want to see Obama
elected for a second term. We DEFFINITLY need a Republican in the Presidency,
but we don’t really want Newt or Ron or Rick (excl. Alabama and Mississippi) …
Hell, we don’t even want Mitt! But I guess someone will have to do… So… LETS GO
MITT! Because he’s not Obama!"
This is,
however, not surprising, as politics in the United States seems to be a game of
choosing the “lesser of two evils” nearly every election year. While Romney seems most likely to stand a
chance against Obama (given the Republican alternatives), the chance that he
will indeed win seems slim. Combine all
this Republican disorganization and possible Brokered Convention with Obama’s
sustained “likeability” that he maintains at much higher levels than Romney,
even in the face of a somewhat rocky, past four years, and it is not
unreasonable to assume that America will experience, for better or for worse,
another four years of Obama. Unless
Romney can rally widespread Republican support similar to that achieved by
President Nixon, who despite never being able to shed the nickname “Tricky Dick,”
still managed to get himself elected, Republicans will have to wait another
four years for a shot at the presidency.
Sources:
http://articles.baltimoresun.com/2012-01-17/news/bal-romneys-electable-but-is-he-likeable-20120113_1_romney-mitt-likeable